Opinion – Wednesday 27 March 2019

The rally in U.S. stocks faded from Tuesday’s highs as Apple Inc. wiped out its advance after a judge recommended a partial iPhone ban. Treasuries declined and the US Dollar rose. A gauge of technology companies in the S&P 500 Index gave up most of its gains,...

Opinion – Tuesday 26 March 2019

The US Stock market closed mixed yesterday after the rout on Friday with the S&P down slightly while Dow closed positive, having been 150 points lower in afternoon trading. A further rally in US Treasuries saw the 10 Year Yield dip below 2.40% for the first time...

Opinion – Monday 25 March 2019

U.S. Equity Markets ended the week lower and Treasuries rose amid more signals that global growth is slowing. Despite a dovish turn by the Fed on Wednesday, the S&P 500 saw it’s biggest drop on Friday since January closing down by 1.90%. Financials and Materials...

Opinion – Friday 22 March 2019

European Leaders maneuvered to stop a chaotic no-deal Brexit happening next week, handing the U.K. an extra two weeks. The cliff-edge that investors were dreading has been postponed. But a new cliff-edge looms on April 12 when the U.K. will have to decide on the way...

Opinion – Thursday 21 March 2019

The US Dollar and Treasury Yields sank after the Federal Reserve abandoned projections for a resumption in Interest Rates hikes this year. It also signaled a swift end to its balance-sheet contraction. The Fed’s stance was more cautious than most analysts had...

Opinion – Wednesday 20 March 2019

The US stocks ended yesterday’s trading session mixed.  The Dow and S&P closed marginally lower after making new Year to Date highs while the NASDAQ closed 0.12% higher. The Dow fell 300 points from its 26109 high print before a late rally. After the bell Fed Ex...

Opinion – Tuesday 19 March 2019

The US stock Indices, end the session higher propelled by higher financials, energy and technology shares. Boeing (transportation) were lower with Boeing subtracting 40+ points from the Dow by itself. Nevertheless, the major Indices rebounded from negative levels...

Opinion – Friday 15 March 2019

A quiet past 24 hours, all things Sterling included even though we now have at least some idea of ‘’what happens next’’ on Brexit. Risk sentiment has been (very marginally) impaired from reports that a Trump-Xi meeting is looking unlikely before late April at the...

Opinion – Thursday 14 March 2019

The UK parliament has voted by just four votes – to support the so-called Speldman amendment which rejects a ‘’no deal’’ Brexit in clearer terms than the Prime Minister’s own motion. Yet the Prime Minister’s own motion rejecting leaving without a deal has also...

Opinion – Wednesday 13 March 2019

Brexit has continued to dominate the markets’ attention in the past 24 hours, with a new deal yesterday then the vote on that deal in the House of Commons last night. A vote on the revised further 11th hour deal nutted out between Prime Minister May and Juncker has...

Opinion – Tuesday 12 March 2019

It has been a risk on past 24 hours with US equities leading the gains within developed markets.  A better than expected January US Retail Sales print has been one supporting factor despite downward revisions to what was already a soft December number. The US Dollar...

Opinion – Monday 11 March 2019

Friday saw a quite a quite shocking miss on US Non-Farm Payrolls of just +20k, but the number needed to be seen in context of an exceptional January print (revised up to 311k) and weather-related hits to the likes of the construction sector (e.g. the Household Survey,...

Opinion – Friday 8 March 2019

While the market was expecting something from the ECB, some combination of a possible new TLTRO (maybe that could come later), a possible change in rates forward guidance, and some revision to growth and inflation forecasts, it served up all three with gusto. The read...

Opinion – Thursday 7 March 2019

The cautious mood evident since the start of the new month continued yesterday and again overnight not helped by softer US data releases. US equities closed  lower for a third consecutive day while US Treasury yields are lower across the curve with the 10y tenor back...