Opinion – Monday 9 February 2015

If there was any surprise to last Friday’s stunning US Payrolls, it was perhaps that the US Dollar Index, although rallying over 1%, nevertheless closed below its YTD Feb 2 highs. Given the scale of the jump in US Money Market Rates and Bond Yields, this tends to bear...

Opinion – Friday 6 February 2015

The negative market sentiment that followed news of the ECB entering the Greek debate and turning the thumbscrews on Syriza by cutting short its access to cash has faded somewhat. Benchmark Bond Yields have reversed back up to recent highs and Oil has also bounced a...

Opinion – Thursday 5 February 2015

After I posted yesterday morning, China announced that it was re-joining other Central Banks by easing Monetary Policy. The People’s Bank of China cut its Reserve Requirement Ratio by 50 bps from 20.0% to 19.5%, coming after having cut rates last November and the...

Opinion – Wednesday 4 February 2015

Yesterday was another reminder that we live in turbulent times, with the US Dollar Index falling 1.5% in the last 24 hours following a combination of factors and the Euro doing considerably better. The driver appears to be the increased market optimism that a solution...

Opinion – Tuesday 3 February 2015

The big surprise overnight was the unexpected rate cut by the Australian Central Bank who cut rates to a record 2.25% low, while at the same time stating that the Australian Dollar is still overvalued. As a result, the Australian Dollar has fallen another 3% to just...

Opinion – Monday 2 February 2015

A softer than expected US GDP Report failed to materially take the the shine off the US Dollar on Friday. A sharp rise in Oil prices benefited the Norwegian Kroner but failed to inspire the Canadian Dollar which was knocked by a weak GDP print. The Euro eased lower,...