Opinion – Thursday 3 August 2017

The big news in equity markets has been the Dow Jones move up to 22000 for the first time ever boosted by Apple’s better than expected sales report. Amid a soft US Dollar environment the Euro briefly traded above 1.19 and UST yields are little changed. Meanwhile...

Opinion – Wednesday 2 August 2017

Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan in a Bloomberg TV interview, speaking of a bubble in the bond market. “By any measure, real long term interest rates are much too low and therefore unsustainable. When they move higher they are likely to move reasonably fast. We are...

Opinion – Tuesday 1 August 2017

The pattern of a weaker US Dollar has continued to play out since I posted 24 hours ago, as the Bloomberg Spot Dollar index closed down another 0.29% and the DXY down a larger 0.48%. The Euro has been the largest beneficiary, EUR/USD up and over 1.18, levels not seen...

Opinion – Monday 31 July 2017

Whether President Trump and his advisers are fans of Neil Sedaka  we probably will never know, but with the Q2 US GDP underwhelming on Friday and seemingly unable to break up into a higher range, Sedaka’s number one hit ‘’breaking up is hard to do’’ could be one of...

Opinion – Friday 28 July 2017

Yesterday’s trading session was marked by a mild bounce in the US dollar into the end of the month, amid encouraging signs that this afternoon’s US GDP might yet be a mild overshoot, but against the ever-present continuing saga that is Washington and the Congress....

Opinion – Thursday 27 July 2017

The FOMC meeting was the big event from yesterday’s trading session and as widely expected the Fed left the Funds Rate unchanged and made a small tweak to its balance sheet unwind guidance noting that a start should occur “relatively soon” rather than “this year”, as...

Opinion – Wednesday 26 July 2017

Judged by Equity, Bond, and Commodity markets, it has been well and truly a risk-on past 24 hours, but it has been more mixed as far as the currency market has been concerned. The AUD did test 0.7970 but was unable to hold that level and now sits back at 0.7940. In a...

Opinion – Tuesday 25 July 2017

It has been a quiet start to the week with no major market moves since I posted 24 hours ago.  US equities ended the day mixed with the Dow and S&P marginally lower while the NASDAQ closed marginally higher. A better than expected PMI print has helped the US...

Opinion – Monday 24 July 2017

More of the same for currencies and bonds on Friday, the US dollar continuing to leak lower alongside US Treasury yields. Latest news out of Washington helping maintain the bearish dollar tone was the resignation of white House press secretary Sean Spicer, after...

Opinion Friday 21 July 2017

The pick-up in market price action has continued in FX markets, with the EURO the star performer, not only against what proved to further weakness in the USD, but on the crosses. The AUD meanwhile has been cutting though all of the price action and is continuing do to...

Opinion – Thursday 20 July 2017

The big news event since I posted 24 hours ago was  President Trump imploring Republican Senators to forgo their Autumn recess (already pushed back two weeks) in order to repeal and replace Obamacare. There is a fat chance of that happening, and markets should already...

Opinion – Wednesday 19 July 2017

How much a dollar cost? Is a song from American rapper Kendrick Lamar and apparently it is Barack Obama’s favourite song of 2015. Well, whichever way you measure it, a US Dollar costs less today than it did yesterday. The USD sell off that began early yesterday...

Opinion – Tuesday 18 July 2017

We come in this morning and it has been something of a sideways/choppy past 24 hours of trading. The Dollar DXY index is little changed overall amid nothing too new on the data front, no Fed speak now with the media lock down ahead of next week’s FOMC, and US stocks...

Opinion – Monday 17 July 2017

For any trader who was an Australian Dollar bear, Friday was about as depressing a day as it has been all year, AUD/USD coming within a pip of its 2016 high of 0.7835 and closing at its highest level since May 21st 2015. A lot of analysts are now going to have to...